TFP Transparent Forex ProfitsLLC
| “Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.” |
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TFP llc Is Led By A Financial Risk Management Professional Who Has Authored A Book On Forex Published By Random House We Integrate Our Professional Risk Balancing Trading System Using Hedge Trades For Large Loss Protection Into Every Client's Account. Keith's Book Is Endorsed By Executives From Major Forex Institutions. {Saxobank, Gain Capital, GCI} |
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You are invited to access Keith's market predictions & comments in the Facebook log below and they will appear on Keith's Facebook Page. Keith's US employment rate prediction for April 2nd 2010 Numbers? +200,000 new jobs created, Unemployment Rate 9.6% {posted Friday March 19th} |
Strategy Notes For April Trading Begin Here As risk managers our 1st priority is capital preservation The chart below shows the USDJPY moved higher last week as the market anticipated Higher interest rates in the USD due to the positive jobs report and traders have already begun abandoning JPY In anticipation of restoration of normal currency relationships. Keith said in November the 85.00 lows in USDJPY would be long term lows for this market. Today the market is approaching 94.00 a 13% gain. The chart for the start of April Is Below Note #1 Sunday, April 4th 10 PM; Unsure of market direction, have opened Buy USDJPY @ 94.40. Note #2 Monday April 5th Noon; Market moved lower and to protect Buy trade, opened Sell hedge @ 94.20. Note #3 Monday April 5th 8 PM; Mkt. trading sideways, closed Sell hedge at 94.20 for break even. Still unsure/direction Note #4 Monday April 5th 9 PM; Wanted mkt. to move higher, so to protect single Buy, reopened Sell @ 94.10. Note #5 Friday April 9th 2 PM; New strategy using hedges. Opened Buy/Sell trades at virtually the same market levels-- Buy USDJPY @ 94.30/Sell USJDPY @ 94.20 Week #2 In April Starting Sunday April 11th Note #6 Monday April 12th 10 PM; Opened Sell {hedge} USDJPY @ 93.50 to balance the Buy USDJPY opened @ 93.30. Market moving without direction or purpose. Need to be hedged. Note #7 Tuesday April 13th 3 AM; Opened a new strategy using hedges. Please watch how these are used: Sell {hedge} USDJPYY @ 93.20 & Buy USDJPY @ 93.20. Summary of March Performance as of Friday April 2nd In March I opened/closed 10 trades. 8 were profits and 2 losses. Profits from those closed trades = $3,200. Open trades subtract from closed trades in terms of net equity for an account. In the table of trades above, open or pending trades carried over from March are listed as pending currently. They have a net lower market value bias. If market does reverse, equity value will approach closed trade values because of the sum total of open trades currently open. The chart for the week of April 11th through April 16th Is Below |
It's All About Interest Rates After the onset of the global financial crisis Both The USD and JPY have evolved into "Safe Haven" currencies. When markets become nervous & risk averse these two currencies attract money looking for a safe haven. So what happens to the USDJPY when markets seek safe havens or even when they seek risk? When the USD and JPY each have the same virtual low interest rates attached to them, it benefits the JPY in either case. There is only one thing that moves USD vs JPY higher Interest rates or the expectation of higher US interest rates. When US interest rates move higher or even the hint of interest rates in the US moving higher appears? The USDJPY is going to skyrocket toward 100 this year from its current sub 90.00 levels today. Event risk already in 2010 has confirmed positive news implying higher US interest rates have moved USDJPY higher. There are huge profits to be made in USDJPY this year. Written Wednesday March 10th 10 PM--Keith Long |
